Posts Tagged ‘canada’

Quick Predictions for the Rest of the Olympics

Sunday, February 21st, 2010

Alright, so I thought about doing this for the whole tournament, but my computer broke and I was in Malaysia, and yadd-yadda-yadda.  Anyway, I know few of you will believe me, but I thought that Slovakia would make some noise.  I certainly didn’t see them outlasting Russia in a shootout, but I thought that they would do better than projected.

Tonight for all of you in North America, or tomorrow for me, is the real start of the tournament.  The three marquee matches are underway, followed by the qualifying round, and then it gets really interesting.  Everyone is trying to make some predictions, so here are mine…

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Glen and Troy’s NOlympic Showdown

Monday, February 1st, 2010

After 46 rounds of sheer awesomeness it is time for things to get real.  With the help of my favourite website in the history of the universe (for this week), WhatIfSports.com it is time for a showdown.

For those of you unfamiliar with this site let me fill you in on a few things.  First off, it is AWESOME.  Secondly, it is a fantasy sports simulator where you can choose any two sports teams of all time and have them have a showdown.  Naturally, I spent a lot of time simulating various hockey games (note: the ‘76 Habs win the most).  Thirdly, you can draft your own dream team, which naturally we did to simulate our NOlympic teams.  Fourthly, this site is AWESOME.

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Glen and Troy’s NOlympic Team – Part 3

Friday, January 15th, 2010

…and so it ends.

Today we will compelte the final 8 rounds of the NOlympic draft, as well as state our line combinations to compete for NOlympic Glory.

Just to recap from last time, our picks were:

Trontario: F – Stamkos, LeCavalier, St. Louis, Penner, Doan, Smyth, Cammalleri, J. Staal, Lucic, Tanguay, D – Campbell, Regher, Beauchemin,  G – Price, Turco

Glenitoba: F – Carter, B. Richards, Savard, Fisher, Weiss, Sharp, Horton, Neal,  Roy, D – Bouwmeester, Phaneuf, Green, Robidas, Hamhuis, G – Ward

Again, Troy definitely has the advantage in offense, and made some gains in goaltending.  But he is still lagging in defense, both from his back end but also from his forwards.

Which brings us to…

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Glen and Troy’s NOlympic Team – Part 2

Tuesday, January 12th, 2010

Welcome back one and all to Glen and Troy’s NOlympic Team. Today we are going to have more drafts and analysis to round out our squad’s.

In case you forgot from last time, here are our teams after the first five rounds

Trontario: F – Stamkos, LeCavalier, St. Louis, Penner, Doan

Glenitoba: F – Carter, D – Bouwmeester, Phaneuf, Green G – Ward

So Troy still has to take 8 forward, 7 defensemen, and 3 goalies while Glen needs to nab 12 forward, 4 D, and 2 goalies.

That brings us to the start of round 6 with…

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Glen and Troy’s NOlympic Teams – Part 1

Tuesday, January 5th, 2010

Steve Yzerman gave me the best birthday present I could have ever asked for.  A chance to talk about hockey!!!  The team was named back on December 30th, and since then a great deal of debate has started, and as usual it has been focused on who is not playing as opposed to the great picks that were made. With a host of names ranging from Green, Doan, Fisher, Ward, and pretty much anyone good who plays for Tampa or Calgary.

Instead of giving a position by position break down like I was intending, I decided to start my Olympic analysis a little differently.  My hockey-hetero-life-mate Troy and I have decided to play scavenger and each take our own teams full of players that have been left over.  This is going to be a series of posts, starting with today, as we both make our initial 5 picks today.

Just out of interest, we are starting with the team that was named.  Any replacements made due to injury are going to be ignored, because, really, that would be a little too difficult.

In debating over this we argued about who should make the first pick and decided to have an MSN rock-paper-scissors war.  It lasted forever as we both insisted on taking rock every time.  Finally in the 127th round a victor was declared as Troy took…a bigger rock.

He used his first pick to take:

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Journey to Gold – Edition III

Thursday, November 5th, 2009

They have finally named a day.  On the last day of 2009, Team Canada will be officially revealed.  There has been a lot of speculation, and there will continue to be a lot more as time goes on.   Now that the season is 15 or so games in, there has been some movement up and down on the depth charts.  Especialyl as foremer locks like Getzlaf and LeCavalier have struggled, while former long shots like Marleau and Stamkos have excelled.   As I have a few times already, I’m going to try and break down the potential team and give my thoughts on who should wear the red and white come February.

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Olympic Camp Breakdown

Thursday, August 27th, 2009

As I type right now some of the best players in the world are in Calgary trying their heart out to represent Canada next February. Any of the 46 players at the camp would make great members of an All-Star team like this. However, once it is all said and done only 23 players (plus maybe a few alternates) will be playing. I have broken down my thoughts for most likely team that I see happening.

Of course, this is all based on speculation at this point, and making the best possible “paper team” that is available. Also, Yzerman has been clear to point out that the camp selections may not be limited to players who are attending the camp. However, I would be shocked if anyone not on this list becomes a member of the team.

Next to each player is a blurb about why I think that they will/won’t make the team, also a number between 1 and 10 for how likely I think that they are to make the team.

So without further ado…

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The NHL in Hamilton

Sunday, May 10th, 2009

It seems like this comes up every year, doesn’t it?

CEO of Research in Motion, Jim Balsillie, is in the middle of making his third attempt to purchase the Phoenix Coyotes and move them to Hamilton, Ontario. This after failed attempts to do the same for the Pittsburgh Penguins and Nashville Predators in 2006 and 2007 respectively. However, this time it seems a little bit more serious. Everyone knows that the Coyotes are hemorrhaging money, and that the NHL had to assume control over them in the fall (despite having denied it for months) and despite this, Balsillie is willing to put up $212.5 million dollars to purchase the team and move them to Hamilton, which he insists is a viable hockey market.

To put it simply. I don’t get it. I don’t understand why Balsillie offered so much money for an NHL team, especially for one with as much debt as the Coyotes. And more importantly, I don’t get why the NHL is being so difficult here. Here we have an enthusiastic owner, who wants to take a team that is losing money, and have them make money, in this economy no less.

I don’t get why the NHL is standing so tough on defending the Coyotes, insisting that the NHL can be viable in that market. I mean, they have had 13 years now to make money, and they still haven’t. Surely, at some point, someone has got to pull the plug, right?

The most interesting twist in this has been the apparent desire for someone else to move the Atlanta Thrashers to Hamilton as well, but apparently the mayor of Hamilton is only in talks with Balsillie. Atlanta, and Phoenix, coupled with Nashville, make an interesting trio of teams on the brink of bankruptcy (or in it with Phoenix, depending on who you ask) that may just end up being sold and/or relocated.

All three of these teams have came to be during the Gary Bettman days at the front of the front office. He saw the expansion into Atlanta and Nashville, and was a key part in the relocation of the Jets to Phoenix. From 1991 to 2000 the NHL saw a huge change in its landscape with nine franchises added and four relocations, let’s have a look at them all, shall we?

San Jose: Strong fan support, even when their team was pretty bad in its early years.
Ottawa: Incredibly strong fan support, even this year when their team was very bad. Almost moved to Houston in late 90s, but have benefited from the new NHL.
Tampa Bay: After a brief love affair with the team in the early 90s, fan support dwindled. Won the Cup in 2004, nobody cared.
Dallas (from Minnesota): Consistently high attendance, very successful, despite everyone thinking that they wouldn’t be. Probably the reason that the NHL became so convinced that they could succeed in non-traditional markets.
Anaheim: Have high attendance since their 2007 Stanley Cup victory, but horrible attendance and apathy before then.
Florida: It all went downhill for them once they weren’t allowed to throw rats on the ice.
Colorado (from Quebec): Usually high attendance suffered a set back this year due to poor on ice results.
Phoenix (from Winnipeg): Losing money all over the place.
Carolina (from Hartford): Have gone from toast of the town to afterthought and back again so many times its hard to keep track. Averaged less than 89% attendance three seasons removed from the Stanley Cup, certainly not a good thing.
Nashville: Have never made money. Had low attendance, even when they were among the best teams in the league a few years ago.
Atlanta: Only team to have less than 80% attendance this past season.
Minnesota: Have been among the league leaders in attendance since they came into the league, despite inconsistent results.
Columbus: Have been near the bottom of the NHL’s attendance, but have never had a playoff team until this season.

Now there are some obvious successes in there namely Colorado, Ottawa, and Minnesota, which should really surprise nobody. However, of the southern teams, the only ones which can be declared a true success are San Jose and Dallas. Carolina, and Anaheim are in between, and the jury is still out on Columbus, but the others have to be seen as failures. Atlanta’s attendance is horrible, the Predators fans are non-existent, and really, who thought that two NHL teams in Florida was a good idea?

I’ll tell you who: Gary Bettman’s pride.

He has visions of the NHL being a first rate league like the NBA and NFL, but the point remains that it is an afterthought in the United States, especially in the south. People get more passionate about a sport if they can play it, and really, how can someone in Miami or Atlanta skate on a pond and pretend that they are Sydney Crosby or Alexander Ovechkin? It simply doesn’t work that way. The mechanics of the game make it impossible. You need ice to play hockey, and you need cold weather to have ice in your backyard. Sure people can play road hockey or go to a rink, but it is really not the same. Compare this to the fact that anyone, can pick up a ball and start bouncing it at any time. As much as I love hockey, it’s just something that people en masse in the South are going to get into, it’s harder for them to identify with.

Now I am not one of those traditionalists who says that the NHL should not be anywhere in the south, it obviously has it’s places (i.e. San Jose, Dallas, even Los Angeles) but the fact remains that it is not working in a lot of places, and that puts the NHL in jeopardy of losing more money than it can afford to lose.

The other factor in Bettman’s pride is that he simply does not want to admit to making a mistake. He received a lot of flak for moving the Jets to Phoenix, and so much of his image, and legacy, is tied up to that franchise succeeding. The Jets had a loyal fan base, and while they struggled financially in the old NHL, they could easily succeed in the new one, just like Edmonton and Ottawa are doing now.

Lastly, there is the image thing. There seems to be an important part of the league’s image to have teams in certain large markets, like somehow not being in them makes your league appear “second rate”. There is also concern that the NHL will look bush league if the lights on Madison Square Garden read “Tonight Rangers vs. Hamilton”, although how that looks any less professional that Nashville or Columbus is a bit beyond me. What the NHL needs to realize, is that it’s ok to retread from big name markets if they are not making any money. In the 90s the NFL moves two teams out of Los Angeles, and one out of Houston (the 2nd and 4th largest cities in the US), and they maintain one in Green Bay (the 261st largest) and they are doing just fine. Meanwhile, the NBA has moved a team from Charlotte to New Orleans (19 to 62) and from Seattle to Oklahoma (24 to 31) and they are doing just fine (all figures come from the source of all knowledge).

My point being, that image is nothing, results are everything. The NFL, North America’s most successful sports league does not have a team in Los Angeles, because it simply did not make any money, yet they are doing fine. I think that the NHL can do just fine without a team in Phoenix, Nashville, or Atlanta (the 5th, 25th, and 33rd largest cities in the US), especially if they are all losing money.

Gary, please, it is time for you to swallow your pride and get that team out of Glendale, if you really don’t want to move them to Hamilton, consider places like Kansas, Portland, or even Winnipeg. And besides, it’s not like anyone in Phoenix would notice.

Until next time,

G

Journey to Gold – Edition II

Sunday, February 15th, 2009

Back in October, I started looking at the team that our Great Nation will field at home to defend our honour. A number of players that I did not have on my team who have been having phenomenal seasons, and a few that I had on my list who need to get dropped as a result. Since the 2010 games are less than 365 days from now, this is a good time to revise the list and see some changes.

Goaltenders

2006 Roster: Martin Brodeur, Roberto Luongo, Marty Turco

Glen’s October Prediction: Martin Brodeur, Roberto Luongo, Carey Price

Despite having missed most of the season, Brodeur is still a virtual lock for the goaltending trio. Roberto Luongo started out incredibly hot, but got injured, and has slowed down a bit since returning, but is another one of those players who should stay as one of the top two tenders.

I still have the utmost confidence in Martin Brodeur serving as the starter, he won the 2002 Gold Medal, and remains one of the greatest high pressure goalies of all time.

Price has struggled a bit of late, but I still have faith in him. This is mostly because other contenders like Gigure and Ward have struggled as well. I think that Price should have a spot still on this team, but he could be threatend by Blue Jackets sensation, Steve Mason, who should run away with the Calder Trophy, mono or not. If he has as successful of a sophmore season as his rookie campaign, expect him to get some serious consideration for the third spot.

Glen’s Current Prediction: Martin Brodeur, Roberto Luongo, Carey Price

Defensemen

2006 Roster: Rob Blake, Jay Bouwmeester, Adam Foote, Bryan McCabe, Chris Pronger, Wade Redden, Robyn Regehr Reserves: Dan Boyle, Injured: Scott Niedermayer, Ed Jovanovski

Glen’s October Prediction:

Phaneuf – Weber
Pronger – Burns
Niedermayer – Bouwmeester
Green
Reserve: Campbell

Like my goaltending predictions, I remain pretty confident with the selections. Shea Weber had an excellent start to the season, and while he has slowed a bit, he has solidified himself as one of the top defensemen in the league. Mike Green has far exceeded expectation, and is currently scoring over a point a game, which is simply breathtaking for a defenseman. As a result, he deserves a higher spot on the roster than 7th defenseman.

Dan Boyle has been having a very good season, playing for a very good team, and as a result he no doubt deserves a spot on the roster, which would probably bump Brent Burns down to the reserves (which is fine, since he could also sub in as a defensive forward should one of them get injured) and leaves Brian Campbell, sadly, off the team. However, the Blackhawks d-man would be the first choice should Scott Neidermayer elect to retire.

Glen’s Current Prediction:

Phaneuf – Weber
Pronger – Green
S. Niedermayer – Bouwmester
Boyle

Reserves: Burns

Forwards:

2006 Roster: Todd Bertuzzi, Shane Doan, Kris Draper, Simon Gagne, Dany Heatley, Jarome Iginla, Vincent Lecavalier, Rick Nash, Brad Richards, Joe Sakic, Ryan Smyth, Martin St. Louis, Joe Thornton Reserves: Jason Spezza, Eric Staal

Glen’s October Prediction:

Lecavalier – Crosby – Iginla
Nash – Getzlaf – Healtey
Towes – Thornton – Spezza
Morrow – M. Richards – Perry
E. Staal

Reserves: Stamkos, Horton

This is easily the most difficult roster spot to fill. There is simply a glut of talent here, which makes Steve Yzerman’s selection incredibly difficult. This is also the spot that I see the most amount of change coming.

The first most obvious addition is Jeff Carter. After struggling last season, he has been one of the biggest break-out stars of the season, and is currently second to Alexander Ovechkin in goals scored, so not only is he a no-brainer to add to the team, I have him penciled to play with Sydney Crosby on the top line, as those two would be certain to generate some magic on the ice. Also, there is one of the most underrated players in the league, Marc Savard, who is finally getting recognized as the superstar that he is. He is comfortably in the top ten in scoring, where he should stay for the rest of the year. His one problem though, is that he is a natural playmaker, and in reality each line only needs one star playmaker, so I have him low on the order as he will probably lose out on playing time to the likes Sidney Crosby, Ryan Getzlaf and Joe Thornton. Lastly, Patrick Marleau has really emerged from the doghouse and has played like the world class two-way player that we know that he is. I think that he would be an excellent addition to the checking line.

Jason Spezza is the most obvious player to eliminate. While he hasn’t been as bad as he has been made out to be, he still has not played at nearly high enough of a level to make a team this elite, same for Eric Staal. Steven Stamkos does not seem to be adequetly prepared for the NHL, so 2010 may be a little too soon, and I would be surprised if Tavares is ready, even for a shadow squad. Nathan Horton has been decent, but hardly superstar worthy, so scratch him as well. Also, even though Toews has had a sub-par year, I think that he is made for high pressure moments, like this tournament, so he stays on, at least for the time being.

So the forwards should look like this:

Carter – Crosby – Iginla
Nash – Getzlaf – Heatley
LeCavalier – Thoronton – Toews
Morrow – M. Richards – Marleau
Savard

Reserves: Perry, Doan

Coaches:

In all honesty, a lot about this really depends on who wins the Stanley Cup. If Detroit wins again, then Babcock is a lock, if Montreal fulfills the magic it should be Carbonneau, and if Boston completes the Cinderella story, expect Claude Julien, and if the Sharks finally get it done, it will be McLellan. However, there are still a few big names in the mix, namely Ken Hitchcock, Brent Sutter, and Wayne Gretzky. My last prediction was Carbonneau with Hitchcock and Sutter as his assistants, and while I still think that is a good team, I may be leaning slightly differently now. I think that Babcock can not really be ignored, and he should be reunited with McLellan (former Red Wings assistant coach) to handle the offense, and Julien to deal with the defense.

Keep tuning back, I will probably have another few of these posts in the coming months, and also, I will try and predict any potential obstacles.

Until next time,

G

Archieved Posts:

Journey to Gold – Edition I
Obstacles to Gold – Edition I (United States and Russia)

Predicting 2009

Saturday, January 31st, 2009

Yeah, yeah, yeah, so I’m a little late on this one, but technically it is both still January, and the Lunar New Year just began, so I’m not as late as I could have been (i.e. if I posted this in December).

But yes, so starts my annual tradition of trying to predict the year, I did alright predicting 2008 (including a daring prediction that the Patriots would not win the Superbowl and that Obama would represent the Democrats in the election), so I figure, why not try my luck once more?

GLEN’S SUREFIRE PREDICTION FOR 2009….

Note: Pretend that dude has my face on it, and pretend that it’s in some sort of nice banner, I don’t have photoshop from my current location…

1. Prime Minister Ignatieff – Let’s start out with another daring political prediction. I think that by one way or another, Ignatieff will be our next Prime Minister within 2009. It seems that the coalition option is out the window (for now), but I think that people are getting sick of Harper, especially with Obama’s victory for progressives, that we may just see ourselves our 4th election in 5 years, and the Liberals will rally and win it. Chances are good it will be another minority government, and once more, nothing will get finished.

2. Victory from Beyond – I think that Heath Ledger’s performance in The Dark Knight was just too good to pass up. Also, the Academy can gain all sorts of good press by having the ever popular Ledger win the award, making him the first posthumous winner in over 30 years.

3. Original 6 Success – I know that Detroit won the Cup last year, but otherwise it has been a bit of a rough couple of years for the Original Six teams. However, this year things seem to be different, and I think that at least 2 of them will be in the Final Four of the playoffs. I am leaning towards Chicago and Montreal, but I would not be at all surprised to see Detroit or Boston there. Also, expect the Rangers to make some noise in the playoffs. sorry Leafs fans, there is always next year (or the one after that, or the one after that….)

4. Another Three Countries Scratched Off My List – A hold over from last year, and yes, a personal one. But I think that 2009 will see at least three new countries added to my list of places I have been. I am not certain which ones, or exactly when, but it will happen.

5. No Big 3 Bankruptcy – There has been a lot of talk of Ford, GM, or Dodge going under, but somehow, I just do not see it happening. These companies have been around for a long time, and I think that they will find a way to stay a float.

6. Liberal Upswing – In recent years, the world has been turning to more and more right-wing politicians, ranging from Bush to Harper to Merkel, and hell even Tony Blair got more conservative with age. I think that many people have become disillusioned with this and we will see more countries go to the left at some point this year. I already predicted Ignatieff, but I think that some other major Western Democracy will go with another liberal or left wing leader at some point in this year. That being said…

7. Obama’s Popularity Will Drop – Sure, I love the guy, and probably will continue to do so, but over the course of this year, there will be some people getting upset with him. He is widely popular right now, and I think that the expectations are too high, and they should drop over the course of the year.

8. The Temperature Will Continue to Rise – Third year in a row making this prediction, and really, do you think that anything major will get done?

9. No New World Champions – Yes, another wrestling prediction had to sneak in here somewhere. I think that for the first time in a long time (the early 90s at the latest) there will not be a first time World Champion over the course of this year, as Jeff Hardy, CM Punk, and Samoa Joe all were this year. For the purposes of a “World” title, I am counting the World Heavyweight Championship, the WWE Title, and the TNA Title, all of which have more or less “World” rankings associated with them. MVP, Matt Hardy, and John Morrison would be the closest, but I just do not see that happening until 2010 at the earliest.

11. Star Trek Will Rule Once More – Another insanely nerdy prediction, but I think that the new edition of Star Trek, scheduled for release in May of this year is going to be awesome. It will break the mold of odd numbered Trek movies being udder crap, and will be a great film. The plot sounds great (time travelling Romulan goes back in time to try and kill Kirk), and it is directed and produced by J.J. Abrahms, who after Lost and Cloverfield can do no wrong in my eyes.

12. The Economy Will Rally – I know that this is a bold one to make, but I think that things will bottom out in the middle of the year and start to rally. Here’s hoping that I’m right on that one!

13. I Will Have a Great Year – Yup, doing this one again. Kind of cheesy, but should still be a good one for me personally, in some capacity at least.

Tune back in December to see just how accurate things were….

Until next time,

G